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Crypto Briefing • October 6th 2026, 9:04 AM

Nvidia nears $6 trillion market cap as investors return to the AI chipmaker

Key Summary

Nvidia is closing in on a historic market cap milestone, with its market capitalization reaching $5.7 to $5.78 trillion, just 3.8% shy of the $6 trillion mark. The company's stock has surged nearly 25% from a low in late July, driven by record highs and a large buyback program.

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Key Takeaways

  • Nvidia is closing in on a $6 trillion market cap, with a 3.8% gap to reach the milestone.
  • The company's stock has climbed nearly 25% from a low in late July.
  • A record $150 billion increase to its share repurchase authorization has further lifted investor optimism.

Market & Token Impact

  • Nvidia's market capitalization accounts for around 13% of the Nasdaq and 8% of the S&P 500.
  • Options pricing suggests a 50% chance of Nvidia crossing the $6 trillion mark by the end of the month, and a 67% probability by December 18.
  • Morgan Stanley has reiterated its overweight rating with a $300 price target, citing solid AI spending and strong revenue forecasts.

Broader Context & What's Next

  • The next clear checkpoint is the Q3 report, which will determine if Nvidia delivers inside or above the $105.8 billion to $110.1 billion range.
  • A miss would test how much optimism is already priced in, while a success would support the bull case.
  • Investors will be watching for any signs of slowing growth or increased competition in the AI space.
  • The company's meeting with US President Donald Trump and key AI executives has further lifted investor optimism.
  • A successful Q3 report could lead to further gains in Nvidia's stock price, potentially pushing it above the $6 trillion market cap.

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