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October 4th 2026, 4:10 PM

Bitcoin's Q4 Fate Hangs in the Balance of Fed and Bond Yields

Bitcoin's Q4 Fate Hangs in the Balance of Fed and Bond Yields

Key Summary

Bitcoin is entering Q4 with analysts warning that a straight-line rally is unlikely. Key factors that could impact BTC include the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate hike and geopolitical developments. A 25 basis point rate hike on October 28 by the Fed could put the target range at 4.00%-4.25%. The cryptocurrency's ability to clear $87,500, its most significant obstacle, remains crucial. In Q3, Bitcoin rebounded from its lowest price in a year and a half, surging 43% and breaking out above $80,000, driven by the US Treasury's long-end bond buyback operations and positive spot ETF flows.

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Market Structure Shift

The market structure is significantly different today, said one of the analysts we talked to.

Key Factors

The Federal Reserve's monetary policy and bond yield fluctuations will likely impact Bitcoin's performance in Q4 2023.

Crucial Price Level

One key price level is expected to play a crucial role in determining the cryptocurrency's trajectory.

#Bitcoin#US#Fed#BondYields

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