Yahoo Crypto Market • October 11th 2026, 3:00 PM
Bitcoin Price Outlook Under Fire: Global M2 Chart's Predictive Flaw Exposed
Key Summary
A viral global M2 chart predicts Bitcoin's price to reach $250,000 to $300,000, but experts argue that the chart's subjective time-lag and lack of predictive power make it unfalsifiable and prone to manipulation. Despite this, prominent voices like Bill Barhydt continue to take the prediction seriously.
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Introduction
The global M2 chart has been circulating in crypto discussions, predicting Bitcoin's price to reach $250,000 to $300,000. However, experts argue that the chart's subjective time-lag and lack of predictive power make it unfalsifiable and prone to manipulation.The Global M2 Chart
The global M2 chart measures the total money available worldwide, including cash, checking accounts, and easily accessible savings. It is compared to Bitcoin's price, with most versions adjusting the money supply line forward by a certain number of weeks.Criticisms of the Chart
Experts argue that the chart's time-lag is subjective and can be adjusted to fit different time frames, making it appear accurate in hindsight but offering little insight into future movements. Additionally, the chart's lack of a set timeline makes it unfalsifiable, as proponents can always argue that the price hasn't reached the predicted level yet.Bill Barhydt's Take
Bill Barhydt, CEO of Abra, recently referenced the chart on The Pomp Podcast, stating that the price range#Bitcoin#Crypto#US#GlobalM2